A SMAP-Anchored Sentinel-1 Change Detection Method for 100 m Surface Soil Moisture Mapping with Vegetation-Conditioned Constraints

High-resolution surface soil moisture (SM) is needed for local hydrological and agricultural applications, but reliable retrieval at 100 m remains challenging. Within this broader methodological context, radiometer-constrained SAR change detection remains a practical and interpretable option for high-resolution soil moisture retrieval. It uses SAR-derived temporal changes to describe fine-scale wetting and drying processes, while passive microwave observations provide volumetric moisture references. This study proposes an improved SMAP-anchored Sentinel-1 change-detection framework (ISSF) for 100 m SM mapping. ISSF addresses these limitations by fitting NDVI-binned upper-envelope samples with a nonlinear quadratic function to normalize the vegetation-dependent backscatter-change range and by using multi-year SMAP dry/wet quantiles to scale the normalized relative wetness into volumetric SM. ISSF was evaluated using in situ measurements, a near-concurrent airborne reference, SMAP-based products, and direct transfer to OzNet. In the Shandian River Basin, ISSF achieved R = 0.549 and ubRMSE = 0.062 m3 m−3 at the point scale. Relative to three benchmark change-detection methods, ISSF increased R by 11–53% and reduced ubRMSE by 7–15%. For the airborne-referenced event, ISSF showed R = 0.635 and ubRMSE = 0.027 m3 m−3. Under direct transfer to OzNet, ISSF achieved mean R = 0.55 and mean ubRMSE = 0.05 m3 m−3. These results indicate that ISSF provides a practical and interpretable approach for 100 m soil moisture mapping in semi-arid regions with sparse to moderate vegetation.