DOI: 10.3390/geosciences16060237 ISSN: 2076-3263

A Simple Multi-Criteria Risk Assessment of Buildings and Infrastructures Under Snow Avalanche Hazard

Alessio Rubino, Barbara Frigo, Bernardino M. Chiaia

The increasing number of extreme events affecting buildings and strategic infrastructures in mountain areas requires reliable approaches for territorial risk assessment with respect to snow avalanches. Considering risk as the combination of hazard, vulnerability, and exposure factors, a simplified framework—recently adopted in Italian national guidelines—is proposed. Avalanche hazard is defined by considering the intrinsic avalanche susceptibility of the territory under investigation, typically described by means of hazard intensity maps. On the other hand, the vulnerability of the construction is determined by considering both the physical, or structural, vulnerability of the building and the functional vulnerability of network systems. Finally, the exposure level accounts for the direct and indirect losses resulting from the hazardous event, based on the typology, use, and potential occupancy of the building or infrastructure. A weighted classification system combining these three factors is adopted to derive risk matrices, in which the risk class of each exposed construction is defined across five levels (high, medium–high, medium, medium–low, low), thus enabling a hierarchical risk classification at the territory scale. The methodology is intended to bridge technical risk assessment and territorial governance, offering an operational decision-support tool for policymakers, emergency planners, and infrastructure operators to support resource allocation and mitigation strategies.

More from our Archive