A Review of Agricultural Drought Monitoring, Policy, and Farmer Adaptation Under Climate Vulnerability in Hungary

Hungary is experiencing more frequent and severe droughts due to climate change, with 60% of its arable land in the vulnerable Great Hungarian Plain. Drought events in 2012 and 2022 reduced maize yields by more than 50% in some regions. This review synthesizes studies (2000–2025) on remote sensing capabilities, climate change impacts, and farmer adaptation in Hungarian agriculture. Remote sensing technologies (Sentinel, Landsat, MODIS) and indices (NDVI, VCI, LST, TCI) achieve high accuracy (often >80%) in drought detection under validated conditions, yet technical and financial barriers limit uptake among smallholder farmers. Climate projections indicate that a 2 °C temperature rise by 2050 will expand drought-affected areas. Farmer adaptation varies sharply by farm size: large farms (>100 ha) adopt precision agriculture (65% uptake), while smallholders (<10 ha) rely on crop rotation and drought-resistant varieties. Although substantial support is provided through the EU Common Agricultural Policy, institutional fragmentation and weak extension services—which reach only 32% of farmers—undermine its effectiveness. Bridging this gap requires integrating accessible remote sensing tools with targeted smallholder support and reformed extension services.