DOI: 10.3390/healthcare14183106 ISSN: 2227-9032

A Retrospective Analysis of Nearly 3,000,000 Non-COVID-19 Mid- and High-Priority Ambulance Activations Before and During COVID-19: A National Study from Saudi Arabia

Saeed A. Alqahtani, Talal M. Alshammari, Abdullah M. Alshamrani, Tariq L. Alshabaani, Tarek M. Esmael, Asif A. Mahmood, Abdulmajeed A. Alamri, Ahmed A. Alshamrani, Nawaf H. Alshaye, Abdulatif S. Alamri, Salem R. Aldossary, Yousef M. Alsofayan, Fahad S. Alhajjaj, Jawaher M. Alkhaldi, Ahmad A. Alrawashdeh

Background/Objectives: Evidence regarding sustained changes in ambulance utilization during the COVID-19 pandemic is inconsistent, and long-term national evidence from Saudi Arabia is limited. This study assessed changes in the level and weekly trend of eligible non-COVID-19 mid-priority, potentially life-threatening, and life-threatening ambulance activations and EMS time intervals recorded by the Saudi Red Crescent Authority (SRCA) during the COVID-19 period relative to the pre-pandemic period. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed eligible SRCA activations recorded between 1 March 2018 and 28 February 2022. Weekly counts were evaluated using segmented negative-binomial interrupted time-series models. Exponentiated coefficients are reported as incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). EMS time intervals were compared between periods. Results: The analytical cohort comprised 2,837,523 eligible activations. At the interruption on 1 March 2020, the model estimated an immediate 19.0% level increase in weekly call volume (level-change IRR = 1.19; 95% CI: 1.06–1.33), followed by a relative decline in the post-interruption weekly trend (slope-change IRR = 0.996; 95% CI: 0.994–0.997). The largest complaint-specific immediate level-change IRRs were observed for penetrating injuries (IRR = 7.60; 95% CI: 5.40–10.70), pregnancy or obstetric emergencies (IRR = 3.59; 95% CI: 2.66–4.84), and allergic reactions (IRR = 3.21; 95% CI: 2.32–4.44); traffic-accident activations had a lower level (IRR = 0.59; 95% CI: 0.53–0.66). Median response, scene, transport, and total EMS intervals were longer by 1, 2, 2, and 4 min, respectively. Conclusions: Among the included non-COVID-19 mid- and high-priority activations, pandemic onset was associated with a higher immediate call level followed by a declining relative weekly trend and modestly longer EMS intervals. Complaint-specific differences may inform surveillance and service-capacity planning, but the observational design and exclusions preclude causal interpretation or inference about total SRCA workload.