A Proactive Assessment Framework for Underutilized Species: Evaluating the Bigeye Cigarfish in the Indian Ocean Using a Bootstrap-Coupled Length-Based Bayesian Model
Guoqing Zhao, Zuozhi Chen, Chao Li, Yongchuang Shi, Fengyuan Shen, Jialiang Yang, Hewei Liu, Ziniu Li, Zhi Zhu, Peng Lian, Lingzhi Li, Hanfeng ZhengThe bigeye cigarfish (Cubiceps pauciradiatus) is a common bycatch species in Indian Ocean fisheries, yet its stock status remains largely unevaluated despite its potential as a future “backup” fishery resource. Here, we develop an integrated assessment framework that couples a Bootstrap based growth estimation tool (fishboot) with the Length based Bayesian biomass (LBB) model. Using length frequency data collected from 2023 to 2025, fishboot quantified uncertainty in asymptotic length (L∞) and growth rate (K), yielding estimates of L∞ = 175 mm and K = 0.92 year−1 that reflect a fast-growing, medium-bodied life history. This L∞ was then supplied as an informed prior to the LBB model. Results indicate that the stock maintained a relatively stable resource status throughout the study period, with its baseline biomass remaining healthy (B/Bmsy > 1) and no alarming early warning signals detected (F/M < 1). The modest biomass fluctuation observed is likely attributable to the species’ status as a common bycatch rather than to systematic overfishing pressure. The fishboot–LBB framework provides a robust approach for proactively assessing data limited and bycatch stocks, thereby extending fisheries research beyond traditional target species to support ecosystem-based management in the region.