DOI: 10.3390/e28080856 ISSN: 1099-4300

A Novel Point-Interval-Valued Wind Speed Prediction System from the Perspective of Mixed-Frequency Data

Lue Li, Yuntian Yang, Jun Long, Xingui Zhang

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for enhancing wind power generation efficiency and ensuring grid stability. While previous research has predominantly focused on point-valued or interval-valued predictions using common-frequency data, these approaches often fail to fully capture the multi-scale variability and uncertainty inherent in wind speed sequences. To address this limitation, this paper introduces a novel ensemble prediction system that incorporates mixed-frequency data with point-interval-valued modeling. The proposed framework systematically incorporates mixed-frequency characteristics by applying Symplectic Geometric Mode Decomposition to jointly denoise high-frequency and low-frequency point-interval-valued components; combining Mixed Data Sampling with artificial intelligence models to generate sub-model predictions and mixed-frequency point-interval-valued results and implementing an improved multi-objective ensemble mechanism using the Multi-Objective Rime optimization algorithm to optimally combine the sub-model outputs. Experimental evaluation using real-world wind speed data from two locations in Nanning, China, demonstrates the system’s superior performance, achieving Point-Interval-Valued Mean Absolute Percentage Error values of 3.7984% and 4.7028%, respectively, and outperforming twenty benchmark models. The results highlight the effectiveness of mixed-frequency data in enhancing point-interval-valued prediction accuracy and provide a robust solution for wind energy applications.

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