A Carbon Efficiency Traceability Monitoring Model for Discrete Manufacturing Workshops with Event Concurrency
Zhiqiang Pan, Shuo Zhu, Zhigang Jiang, Xin Chen, Hua ZhangCarbon efficiency, measuring effective output per unit of carbon emissions, is vital for managing low-carbon workshops and advancing sustainable manufacturing. However, production processes often face concurrent discrete events (e.g., equipment failures, parameter adjustments) and numerous emission factors with complex relationships, making it hard to identify dominant factors and event impact degrees, thus lacking direction for operation and maintenance decisions. This paper proposes a deductive monitoring model to analyze carbon efficiency changes under event concurrency. First, for traceability, a multi-resolution enhanced carbon efficiency information transfer network is proposed. It classifies emission factors into time-driven and event-driven accounting, and under the Parallel Discrete Event System Specification framework, adopts a multi-resolution approach with high- and low-resolution models for hierarchical aggregation from equipment to workshop, establishing a traceability path to specific factors. Second, for unclear impact degrees, a dynamic monitoring model for concurrent events is designed. A state-driven dynamic carbon efficiency accounting method automatically settles upon equipment state switching, and a rule-driven priority deduction strategy enables independent accounting of each event’s impact degrees in a determined order. A case study on a machine tool spindle production workshop validates the proposed model. Under baseline conditions, the relative accounting errors for 8 h cumulative carbon emissions and effective output are approximately 1.05% and 0.89%, respectively. In concurrent event scenarios, the model achieves deterministic trajectory reproducibility across 30 independent deduction runs and enables independent impact-degree decomposition, whereas traditional discrete event simulation exhibits trajectory ambiguity. Furthermore, testing under 42 multi-parameter perturbation combinations demonstrates traceability path integrity and accurate root-cause localization, delivering a transparent and reliable quantitative basis for low-carbon maintenance decisions.